Immobilier : prévisions des principaux réseaux pour 2012…

 

Les agents immobiliers se préparent à une année difficile. Les grands réseaux que nous avons interrogés anticipent une chute des ventes de logements de 10 à 15% en 2012. Voire même de 20% pour les plus pessimistes.

 

Le diagnostic est désormais connu : récession, forte remontée du chômage et durcissement des conditions de crédits vont inévitablement contraindre un nombre important de ménages à renoncer à leur projet d’acquisition. La fin du prêt à taux zéro et le coup de rabot sur le dispositif locatif Scellier sont aussi de nature à plomber les transactions.

 

Conséquence : les prix des logements vont repartir à la baisse. La Fédération nationale des agents immobiliers, qui représente près de la moitié du marché, anticipe ainsi une baisse d’au moins 5%. Même estimation pour Orpi, le premier réseau français. De son côté Guy Hoquet table sur un recul de 10% dans les villes moyennes et les périphéries des grandes agglomérations.

 

Seule voix dissonante : Century 21 vise une légère hausse des tarifs. Pour son patron, la crise inciterait les ménages à retarder la mise en vente de leurs biens, entretenant ainsi la pénurie sur le marché et soutenant les prix. A voir.

 

Les prévisions des agents immobiliers :

Réseaux Evolution des ventes Evolution des prix Nombre d’agences
Fnaim – 10 à – 15% Jusqu’à -5% 12.000 agences
Orpi – 10 à – 15% Jusqu’à -5% 1200 agences
Century 21 – 10 à – 15% + 2 à + 3% 900 agences
Guy Hoquet 15% Jusqu’à -10% dans les villes de tailles moyennes 500 agences
Era Immobilier – 5 à – 10% Jusqu’à – 3% 350 agences
L’Adresse – 20% – 3 à – 6% en Ile-de-France 323 agences
Laforêt à la baisse à la baisse 750 agences
Solvimmo – 15 à – 20% Jusqu’à -5% 160 agences

Source :

http://www.capital.fr/immobilier/actualites/immobilier-les-previsions-des-principaux-reseaux-pour-2012-688318

 

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